Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.917951 19.222869 21.822830 24.992057 28.776825 33.184407 38.753615
2025-08-31 13.514941 16.329559 19.771575 24.354235 30.393736 38.224544 49.390408
2025-09-07 11.679594 14.694123 18.585122 24.090977 31.876950 42.811550 59.942253
2025-09-14 10.082470 13.058816 17.054350 22.970301 31.798494 45.000060 67.332112
2025-09-21 8.829345 11.700515 15.676968 21.784464 31.311994 46.335277 73.505424
2025-09-28 7.980254 10.794725 14.804116 21.172844 31.528181 48.703863 81.870594
2025-10-05 8.129921 11.313814 16.031319 23.891048 37.460896 61.724261 113.545480
2025-10-12 7.816523 11.105939 16.123278 24.787623 40.451597 70.168878 139.101550
2025-10-19 7.198823 10.373811 15.313765 24.059170 40.391005 72.723925 152.454679
2025-10-26 6.958954 10.206125 15.385674 24.848756 43.274088 81.849221 185.172855
2025-11-02 6.536423 9.710120 14.865635 24.507429 43.879647 86.215297 207.278055
2025-11-09 6.141171 9.227765 14.324307 24.059132 44.188141 89.968115 229.315589
2025-11-16 5.800723 8.826950 13.915220 23.866925 45.126025 95.754973 261.719495
2025-11-23 5.425291 8.342084 13.320569 23.252095 45.061346 99.101047 288.268452
2025-11-30 5.141327 7.992026 12.935059 23.004651 45.780171 104.704356 326.718470
2025-12-07 4.770552 7.467652 12.192072 21.947946 44.444864 104.341487 341.616207
2025-12-14 4.422940 6.963954 11.452895 20.828911 42.806694 102.773977 350.935109
2025-12-21 4.174692 6.621642 10.991145 20.251362 42.418553 104.858993 378.651028
2025-12-28 4.332239 7.011526 11.939795 22.816171 50.448358 135.817949 582.247502
2026-01-04 4.269732 6.995953 12.102690 23.661067 54.156873 154.249793 745.885590
2026-01-11 4.045950 6.668200 11.623048 22.974642 53.480456 156.651401 806.119520
2026-01-18 3.985106 6.641867 11.746365 23.718658 57.069601 176.791773 1035.298385
2026-01-25 3.822607 6.413274 11.440218 23.397079 57.435761 184.194656 1172.512500